Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models feeding into China Meteorological Administration guidance show Chengdu under a warm, moist subtropical air mass with limited cloud cover and light winds through August 10, supporting peak temperatures near the upper 30s °C. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent excursions above 35 °C amid stronger western Pacific subtropical high influence. Trader consensus clusters on 35–37 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios of scattered afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official CMA updates and next 48-hour model cycles will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日成都气温最高？
8月10日成都气温最高？
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
8%
35°C
19%
36°C
38%
37°C
28%
38°C
11%
39°C或更高
2%
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
29°C或以下
$449 交易量
<1%
30°C
$116 交易量
<1%
31°C
$113 交易量
1%
32°C
$111 交易量
2%
33°C
$317 交易量
3%
34°C
$23 交易量
8%
35°C
$19 交易量
19%
36°C
$168 交易量
38%
37°C
$556 交易量
28%
38°C
$128 交易量
11%
39°C或更高
$165 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models feeding into China Meteorological Administration guidance show Chengdu under a warm, moist subtropical air mass with limited cloud cover and light winds through August 10, supporting peak temperatures near the upper 30s °C. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent excursions above 35 °C amid stronger western Pacific subtropical high influence. Trader consensus clusters on 35–37 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios of scattered afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official CMA updates and next 48-hour model cycles will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,164结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models feeding into China Meteorological Administration guidance show Chengdu under a warm, moist subtropical air mass with limited cloud cover and light winds through August 10, supporting peak temperatures near the upper 30s °C. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent excursions above 35 °C amid stronger western Pacific subtropical high influence. Trader consensus clusters on 35–37 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios of scattered afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official CMA updates and next 48-hour model cycles will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,164结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from models feeding into China Meteorological Administration guidance show Chengdu under a warm, moist subtropical air mass with limited cloud cover and light winds through August 10, supporting peak temperatures near the upper 30s °C. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent excursions above 35 °C amid stronger western Pacific subtropical high influence. Trader consensus clusters on 35–37 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios of scattered afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in the ridge that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official CMA updates and next 48-hour model cycles will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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