Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日深圳气温最高？
8月13日深圳气温最高？
34°C 35%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
35%
35°C
16%
36°C
6%
37℃
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
$1,143 交易量
<1%
29°C
$82 交易量
1%
30°C
$95 交易量
1%
31°C
$119 交易量
4%
32°C
$125 交易量
10%
33°C
$182 交易量
29%
34°C
$1,459 交易量
35%
35°C
$178 交易量
16%
36°C
$268 交易量
6%
37℃
$488 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$816 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,955结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,955结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题