Forecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 55%
14°C 33%
16°C 11%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
33%
15°C
55%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 55%
14°C 33%
16°C 11%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
9°C or below
$429 交易量
<1%
10°C
$540 交易量
<1%
11°C
$368 交易量
<1%
12°C
$579 交易量
1%
13°C
$494 交易量
4%
14°C
$972 交易量
33%
15°C
$1,032 交易量
55%
16°C
$1,738 交易量
11%
17°C
$379 交易量
2%
18°C
$264 交易量
1%
19°C or higher
$519 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,959结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,959结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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