Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, under the influence of an extended Pacific High producing above-normal summer temperatures. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 27°C and 30°C that traders currently favor. Historical August normals near 31.6°C provide context, yet the near-term steering pattern and moisture may cap readings slightly below average. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the land-sea breeze and precipitation timing that determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of this range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日东京气温最高?
29°C 29%
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, under the influence of an extended Pacific High producing above-normal summer temperatures. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 27°C and 30°C that traders currently favor. Historical August normals near 31.6°C provide context, yet the near-term steering pattern and moisture may cap readings slightly below average. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the land-sea breeze and precipitation timing that determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of this range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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