Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日香港气温最高？
8月13日香港气温最高？
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
42%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C or below
$413 交易量
<1%
28°C
$949 交易量
<1%
29°C
$167 交易量
<1%
30°C
$640 交易量
3%
31°C
$360 交易量
6%
32°C
$316 交易量
31%
33°C
$1,346 交易量
42%
34°C
$254 交易量
20%
35°C
$654 交易量
4%
36°C
$190 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,439结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,439结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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