Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日武汉气温最高？
8月16日武汉气温最高？
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
$233 交易量
<1%
28°C
$62 交易量
<1%
29°C
$148 交易量
<1%
30°C
$74 交易量
2%
31°C
$312 交易量
5%
32°C
$126 交易量
25%
33°C
$1,530 交易量
42%
34°C
$391 交易量
26%
35°C
$260 交易量
4%
36°C
$372 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$241 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,749结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,749结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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