Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. These factors, combined with the urban heat island effect and steering patterns from the subtropical high, position 25–26°C as the market leaders at 72% combined implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though revisions in the final 48-hour runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could shift outcomes if a clearer night develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日上海最低气温？
8月17日上海最低气温？
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C或更高
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
20°C
$5 交易量
4%
21°C
$5 交易量
2%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$5 交易量
11%
24°C
$114 交易量
9%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$57 交易量
42%
27°C
$27 交易量
13%
28°C
$25 交易量
6%
29°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. These factors, combined with the urban heat island effect and steering patterns from the subtropical high, position 25–26°C as the market leaders at 72% combined implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though revisions in the final 48-hour runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could shift outcomes if a clearer night develops.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$253结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. These factors, combined with the urban heat island effect and steering patterns from the subtropical high, position 25–26°C as the market leaders at 72% combined implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though revisions in the final 48-hour runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could shift outcomes if a clearer night develops.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$253结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. These factors, combined with the urban heat island effect and steering patterns from the subtropical high, position 25–26°C as the market leaders at 72% combined implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though revisions in the final 48-hour runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could shift outcomes if a clearer night develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题