Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate stabilizing conditions over Cape Town after a period of unsettled winter weather, with the 15–16 August period expected to feature typical seasonal patterns under a developing high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20 °C because these values align closely with the long-term August mean maximum of roughly 18 °C, modulated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent marine air advection. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as the precise timing of any residual cold front passage, low-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and wind shifts between onshore flow and lighter katabatic drainage; clearer skies or brief offshore berg-wind episodes could nudge readings toward 20–21 °C, while increased stratiform cloud or stronger westerlies would favor 17–18 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日开普敦气温最高?
18°C 45%
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
17°C 12%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
11%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
18°C 45%
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
17°C 12%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
11%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate stabilizing conditions over Cape Town after a period of unsettled winter weather, with the 15–16 August period expected to feature typical seasonal patterns under a developing high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20 °C because these values align closely with the long-term August mean maximum of roughly 18 °C, modulated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent marine air advection. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as the precise timing of any residual cold front passage, low-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and wind shifts between onshore flow and lighter katabatic drainage; clearer skies or brief offshore berg-wind episodes could nudge readings toward 20–21 °C, while increased stratiform cloud or stronger westerlies would favor 17–18 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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