Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu's August 14 daytime maximum near 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with high humidity and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting afternoon peaks. Scattered convection or increased cloud cover could trim the high toward 35 °C, while clearer conditions or a stronger heat advection would favor 38 °C; these narrow differences explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will resolve the market, with final verification expected within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日成都气温最高？
8月14日成都气温最高？
36°C 29%
37°C 25%
35℃ 15%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
30℃及以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
8%
35℃
15%
36°C
29%
37°C
25%
38°C
11%
39°C
4%
40°C或更高
<1%
36°C 29%
37°C 25%
35℃ 15%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
30℃及以下
$93 交易量
<1%
31°C
$50 交易量
1%
32°C
$99 交易量
1%
33°C
$119 交易量
3%
34°C
$73 交易量
8%
35℃
$49 交易量
15%
36°C
$107 交易量
29%
37°C
$2,095 交易量
25%
38°C
$41 交易量
11%
39°C
$75 交易量
4%
40°C或更高
$624 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu's August 14 daytime maximum near 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with high humidity and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting afternoon peaks. Scattered convection or increased cloud cover could trim the high toward 35 °C, while clearer conditions or a stronger heat advection would favor 38 °C; these narrow differences explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will resolve the market, with final verification expected within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,426结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu's August 14 daytime maximum near 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with high humidity and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting afternoon peaks. Scattered convection or increased cloud cover could trim the high toward 35 °C, while clearer conditions or a stronger heat advection would favor 38 °C; these narrow differences explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will resolve the market, with final verification expected within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,426结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu's August 14 daytime maximum near 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with high humidity and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting afternoon peaks. Scattered convection or increased cloud cover could trim the high toward 35 °C, while clearer conditions or a stronger heat advection would favor 38 °C; these narrow differences explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will resolve the market, with final verification expected within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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