Recent KMA short-range guidance for August 14 points to a maximum near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, anchoring trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes that together exceed 65% implied probability. Ensemble spread in global models reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential isolated showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, while persistent summer humidity and residual heatwave conditions favor values near or above the seasonal average. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月14日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 25%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
37%
33°C
31%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 25%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
$219 交易量
<1%
27°C
$55 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$50 交易量
2%
30°C
$127 交易量
6%
31°C
$131 交易量
25%
32°C
$153 交易量
37%
33°C
$80 交易量
31%
34°C
$102 交易量
10%
35°C
$49 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$64 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range guidance for August 14 points to a maximum near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, anchoring trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes that together exceed 65% implied probability. Ensemble spread in global models reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential isolated showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, while persistent summer humidity and residual heatwave conditions favor values near or above the seasonal average. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,035结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range guidance for August 14 points to a maximum near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, anchoring trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes that together exceed 65% implied probability. Ensemble spread in global models reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential isolated showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, while persistent summer humidity and residual heatwave conditions favor values near or above the seasonal average. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,035结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent KMA short-range guidance for August 14 points to a maximum near 34°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, anchoring trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes that together exceed 65% implied probability. Ensemble spread in global models reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential isolated showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, while persistent summer humidity and residual heatwave conditions favor values near or above the seasonal average. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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