Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日伦敦最低气温？
8月16日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,028 交易量
$20,028 交易量
2026-08-16
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,028 交易量
$20,028 交易量
2026-08-16
14°C或以下
$1,219 交易量
否
15°C
$828 交易量
否
16°C
$3,656 交易量
否
17°C
$5,510 交易量
否
18°C
$4,846 交易量
是
19°C
$1,311 交易量
否
20°C
$569 交易量
否
21°C
$1,548 交易量
否
22°C
$177 交易量
否
23°C
$182 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$182 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$20,028结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,028结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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