Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月17日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
29°C 38%
30℃ 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
38%
30℃
27%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 38%
30℃ 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
23°C或以下
$937 交易量
<1%
24°C
$636 交易量
<1%
25°C
$727 交易量
1%
26°C
$535 交易量
4%
27°C
$1,116 交易量
9%
28°C
$722 交易量
21%
29°C
$569 交易量
38%
30℃
$863 交易量
27%
31°C
$960 交易量
6%
32°C
$613 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$709 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$8,025结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,025结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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