KMA short-range forecasts for August 18 project a minimum of 25°C in Incheon under mostly clear morning conditions and light northerly winds, with only modest afternoon cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in ensemble model spreads for overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and the absence of strong frontal systems support limited variability, while urban effects around Seoul may add slight warmth. Updated KMA guidance and higher-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
25°C 38%
24°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
19℃或更低
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
35%
25°C
38%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
1%
25°C 38%
24°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
19℃或更低
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
35%
25°C
38%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
KMA short-range forecasts for August 18 project a minimum of 25°C in Incheon under mostly clear morning conditions and light northerly winds, with only modest afternoon cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in ensemble model spreads for overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and the absence of strong frontal systems support limited variability, while urban effects around Seoul may add slight warmth. Updated KMA guidance and higher-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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