Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月15日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
65°F或以下
$314 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$127 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$196 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$227 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$792 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$1,407 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$1,421 交易量
55%
78-79°F
$291 交易量
7%
80-81°F
$172 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$139 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$318 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$5,405结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,405结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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