Recent numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service point to maximum temperatures of 31–32°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, driven by prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions that typically bring daytime highs near seasonal averages alongside increased cloud cover and isolated thundery showers. El Niño development expected through mid-2026 has contributed to a broader warming signal and reduced rainfall across the region, supporting the market's elevated odds for 32°C at 47.5% versus 31°C at 35.5%, while limiting upside risk for 33°C or higher. Recent observations from early to mid-August showing daily peaks clustered around 32°C reinforce trader consensus, with any last-minute shifts in model runs or local convection patterns likely to determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月16日的最高温度?
32°C 48%
31°C 39%
30°C 9%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
39%
32°C
48%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 48%
31°C 39%
30°C 9%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
39%
32°C
48%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service point to maximum temperatures of 31–32°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, driven by prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions that typically bring daytime highs near seasonal averages alongside increased cloud cover and isolated thundery showers. El Niño development expected through mid-2026 has contributed to a broader warming signal and reduced rainfall across the region, supporting the market's elevated odds for 32°C at 47.5% versus 31°C at 35.5%, while limiting upside risk for 33°C or higher. Recent observations from early to mid-August showing daily peaks clustered around 32°C reinforce trader consensus, with any last-minute shifts in model runs or local convection patterns likely to determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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