Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 18, driven by monsoon trough influences and residual moisture from earlier western Pacific systems, which limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima near 30–33°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, yet current model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to convective activity suppressing peaks below extreme thresholds. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps trader focus tightly clustered on 31–32°C outcomes, as clearer skies or stronger subsidence could briefly allow 33°C while persistent storms favor lower readings. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日深圳气温最高？
8月18日深圳气温最高？
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
30%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
$303 交易量
<1%
27°C
$308 交易量
<1%
28°C
$94 交易量
2%
29°C
$20 交易量
10%
30°C
$7 交易量
11%
31°C
$64 交易量
31%
32°C
$40 交易量
30%
33°C
$41 交易量
16%
34°C
$39 交易量
10%
35°C
$15 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 18, driven by monsoon trough influences and residual moisture from earlier western Pacific systems, which limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima near 30–33°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, yet current model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to convective activity suppressing peaks below extreme thresholds. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps trader focus tightly clustered on 31–32°C outcomes, as clearer skies or stronger subsidence could briefly allow 33°C while persistent storms favor lower readings. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$957结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 18, driven by monsoon trough influences and residual moisture from earlier western Pacific systems, which limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima near 30–33°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, yet current model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to convective activity suppressing peaks below extreme thresholds. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps trader focus tightly clustered on 31–32°C outcomes, as clearer skies or stronger subsidence could briefly allow 33°C while persistent storms favor lower readings. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$957结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 18, driven by monsoon trough influences and residual moisture from earlier western Pacific systems, which limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima near 30–33°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, yet current model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to convective activity suppressing peaks below extreme thresholds. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps trader focus tightly clustered on 31–32°C outcomes, as clearer skies or stronger subsidence could briefly allow 33°C while persistent storms favor lower readings. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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