National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月16日的最高温度？
纽约市8月16日的最高温度？
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
71°F or below
$127 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$33 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$71 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$840 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$380 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$445 交易量
45%
82-83°F
$187 交易量
37%
84-85°F
$681 交易量
10%
86-87°F
$204 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$351 交易量
<1%
90°F or higher
$137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$3,456结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,456结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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