**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations. Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日台北气温最高？
8月17日台北气温最高？
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
39%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
28°C or below
$210 交易量
<1%
29°C
$210 交易量
<1%
30°C
$156 交易量
<1%
31°C
$743 交易量
1%
32°C
$604 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,020 交易量
1%
34°C
$653 交易量
11%
35°C
$1,097 交易量
43%
36°C
$1,137 交易量
39%
37°C
$801 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$216 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations.
Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,847结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations.
Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,847结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations. Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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