Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. August climatology features high humidity and frequent afternoon convection driven by the East Asian monsoon, with historical highs averaging near 29°C but often reduced by 3–6°C under overcast, rainy conditions. Model consensus highlights light winds and elevated precipitation chances as the dominant variables differentiating 23°C from 25°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios would require clearer skies or delayed storm development. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日成都气温最高？
8月18日成都气温最高？
25°C 25%
24°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
10%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
$10 交易量
4%
21°C
$57 交易量
9%
22°C
$52 交易量
19%
23°C
$698 交易量
20%
24°C
$5 交易量
23%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$72 交易量
10%
27°C
$0 交易量
10%
28°C
$5 交易量
3%
29°C
$180 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. August climatology features high humidity and frequent afternoon convection driven by the East Asian monsoon, with historical highs averaging near 29°C but often reduced by 3–6°C under overcast, rainy conditions. Model consensus highlights light winds and elevated precipitation chances as the dominant variables differentiating 23°C from 25°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios would require clearer skies or delayed storm development. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. August climatology features high humidity and frequent afternoon convection driven by the East Asian monsoon, with historical highs averaging near 29°C but often reduced by 3–6°C under overcast, rainy conditions. Model consensus highlights light winds and elevated precipitation chances as the dominant variables differentiating 23°C from 25°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios would require clearer skies or delayed storm development. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. August climatology features high humidity and frequent afternoon convection driven by the East Asian monsoon, with historical highs averaging near 29°C but often reduced by 3–6°C under overcast, rainy conditions. Model consensus highlights light winds and elevated precipitation chances as the dominant variables differentiating 23°C from 25°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios would require clearer skies or delayed storm development. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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