Recent PAGASA and regional model guidance for Manila points to persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered afternoon showers through August 18, keeping daytime heating limited and positioning 28 °C as the market favorite. These conditions favor cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 30–31 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk from brief clearing that could allow 29–30 °C readings. Traders are weighting the high probability of continued moisture advection and limited insolation over the next 48 hours, while noting that any unexpected break in the monsoon or delayed convection could shift the distribution upward. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
40%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C或更高
5%
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
22°C或以下
$30 交易量
<1%
23°C
$28 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13 交易量
1%
25°C
$32 交易量
5%
26°C
$3 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C
$35 交易量
40%
29°C
$21 交易量
28%
30°C
$6 交易量
10%
31°C
$25 交易量
5%
32°C或更高
$28 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and regional model guidance for Manila points to persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered afternoon showers through August 18, keeping daytime heating limited and positioning 28 °C as the market favorite. These conditions favor cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 30–31 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk from brief clearing that could allow 29–30 °C readings. Traders are weighting the high probability of continued moisture advection and limited insolation over the next 48 hours, while noting that any unexpected break in the monsoon or delayed convection could shift the distribution upward. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and regional model guidance for Manila points to persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered afternoon showers through August 18, keeping daytime heating limited and positioning 28 °C as the market favorite. These conditions favor cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 30–31 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk from brief clearing that could allow 29–30 °C readings. Traders are weighting the high probability of continued moisture advection and limited insolation over the next 48 hours, while noting that any unexpected break in the monsoon or delayed convection could shift the distribution upward. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent PAGASA and regional model guidance for Manila points to persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered afternoon showers through August 18, keeping daytime heating limited and positioning 28 °C as the market favorite. These conditions favor cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 30–31 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk from brief clearing that could allow 29–30 °C readings. Traders are weighting the high probability of continued moisture advection and limited insolation over the next 48 hours, while noting that any unexpected break in the monsoon or delayed convection could shift the distribution upward. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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