Recent forecast model runs indicate a moderating air mass arriving over central Poland, with Warsaw expected to see a daytime high near 21°C on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the weekend, as steering winds shift northwest and limit afternoon heating. Official guidance from agencies highlights modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks, which could allow 22°C or hold the maximum to 19°C. Traders appear to weight the cooler side of the range given the precipitation signal and historical August variability, producing closely matched probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated model cycles and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月18日的最高温度？
华沙8月18日的最高温度？
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
28%
21°C
19%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C or below
$6 交易量
<1%
15°C
$6 交易量
1%
16°C
$81 交易量
2%
17°C
$9 交易量
3%
18°C
$80 交易量
8%
19°C
$6 交易量
35%
20°C
$52 交易量
28%
21°C
$30 交易量
19%
22°C
$6 交易量
3%
23°C
$10 交易量
3%
24°C or higher
$6 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate a moderating air mass arriving over central Poland, with Warsaw expected to see a daytime high near 21°C on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the weekend, as steering winds shift northwest and limit afternoon heating. Official guidance from agencies highlights modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks, which could allow 22°C or hold the maximum to 19°C. Traders appear to weight the cooler side of the range given the precipitation signal and historical August variability, producing closely matched probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated model cycles and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$292结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate a moderating air mass arriving over central Poland, with Warsaw expected to see a daytime high near 21°C on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the weekend, as steering winds shift northwest and limit afternoon heating. Official guidance from agencies highlights modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks, which could allow 22°C or hold the maximum to 19°C. Traders appear to weight the cooler side of the range given the precipitation signal and historical August variability, producing closely matched probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated model cycles and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$292结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model runs indicate a moderating air mass arriving over central Poland, with Warsaw expected to see a daytime high near 21°C on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the weekend, as steering winds shift northwest and limit afternoon heating. Official guidance from agencies highlights modest uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud breaks, which could allow 22°C or hold the maximum to 19°C. Traders appear to weight the cooler side of the range given the precipitation signal and historical August variability, producing closely matched probabilities around 19–21°C. Updated model cycles and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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