Current weather models project Shanghai's August 18 high near 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that can suppress peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks show daytime maxima of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), aligning with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and limited evidence of an intense heat dome or clear-sky amplification. This positions the 30–32°C outcomes as the market consensus, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and precipitation timing that historically moderate extremes in the Yangtze River delta region. New model runs closer to the date will refine land-sea breeze and storm timing influences on the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日上海气温最高?
31°C 39%
32°C 25%
30°C 23%
29°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C
39%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 25%
30°C 23%
29°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C
39%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current weather models project Shanghai's August 18 high near 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that can suppress peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks show daytime maxima of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), aligning with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and limited evidence of an intense heat dome or clear-sky amplification. This positions the 30–32°C outcomes as the market consensus, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and precipitation timing that historically moderate extremes in the Yangtze River delta region. New model runs closer to the date will refine land-sea breeze and storm timing influences on the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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