Forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com, the Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum of 30–33°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and light northerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while high humidity near 75–90% and regional moisture patterns suppress further warming, aligning with a modest cooling trend after earlier August peaks near 35°C. These conditions position the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological August averages around 32°C yet tempered by the expected convective activity. Updated NHC and local meteorological briefings through the evening of August 16 will refine the final temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日上海气温最高？
8月17日上海气温最高？
31°C 45%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
45%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
$159 交易量
<1%
26°C
$159 交易量
<1%
27°C
$41 交易量
<1%
28°C
$487 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,490 交易量
6%
30°C
$562 交易量
27%
31°C
$1,195 交易量
45%
32°C
$1,226 交易量
18%
33°C
$173 交易量
2%
34°C
$709 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$508 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com, the Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum of 30–33°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and light northerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while high humidity near 75–90% and regional moisture patterns suppress further warming, aligning with a modest cooling trend after earlier August peaks near 35°C. These conditions position the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological August averages around 32°C yet tempered by the expected convective activity. Updated NHC and local meteorological briefings through the evening of August 16 will refine the final temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$6,641结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com, the Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum of 30–33°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and light northerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while high humidity near 75–90% and regional moisture patterns suppress further warming, aligning with a modest cooling trend after earlier August peaks near 35°C. These conditions position the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological August averages around 32°C yet tempered by the expected convective activity. Updated NHC and local meteorological briefings through the evening of August 16 will refine the final temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,641结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETForecast models from sources including timeanddate.com, the Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum of 30–33°C for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers and light northerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while high humidity near 75–90% and regional moisture patterns suppress further warming, aligning with a modest cooling trend after earlier August peaks near 35°C. These conditions position the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological August averages around 32°C yet tempered by the expected convective activity. Updated NHC and local meteorological briefings through the evening of August 16 will refine the final temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题