**Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com point to a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering, with 33 °C at 41.5 %, 32 °C at 29 %, and 34 °C at 24 % reflecting trader aggregation of model outputs and historical Po Valley summer patterns. August climatology typically features highs near 30 °C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence, and recent days have shown similar 32–34 °C readings without strong advection or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in the latest guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these three outcomes while assigning only single-digit odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated NWP runs and any last-minute observational tweaks before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日米兰的最高温度？
8月18日米兰的最高温度？
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 24%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
29%
33°C
42%
34°C
24%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 24%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
29°C or below
$24 交易量
1%
30°C
$37 交易量
1%
31°C
$8 交易量
6%
32°C
$8 交易量
29%
33°C
$68 交易量
42%
34°C
$4 交易量
24%
35°C
$1 交易量
5%
36°C
$23 交易量
2%
37°C
$12 交易量
1%
38°C
$122 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$404 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com point to a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering, with 33 °C at 41.5 %, 32 °C at 29 %, and 34 °C at 24 % reflecting trader aggregation of model outputs and historical Po Valley summer patterns.
August climatology typically features highs near 30 °C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence, and recent days have shown similar 32–34 °C readings without strong advection or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in the latest guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these three outcomes while assigning only single-digit odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated NWP runs and any last-minute observational tweaks before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$711结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com point to a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering, with 33 °C at 41.5 %, 32 °C at 29 %, and 34 °C at 24 % reflecting trader aggregation of model outputs and historical Po Valley summer patterns.
August climatology typically features highs near 30 °C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence, and recent days have shown similar 32–34 °C readings without strong advection or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in the latest guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these three outcomes while assigning only single-digit odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated NWP runs and any last-minute observational tweaks before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$711结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com point to a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering, with 33 °C at 41.5 %, 32 °C at 29 %, and 34 °C at 24 % reflecting trader aggregation of model outputs and historical Po Valley summer patterns. August climatology typically features highs near 30 °C amid moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence, and recent days have shown similar 32–34 °C readings without strong advection or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in the latest guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these three outcomes while assigning only single-digit odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated NWP runs and any last-minute observational tweaks before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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