Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely between 33°C and 35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover while sustaining warm advection across the Po Valley, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measuring station can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from any late-day convection. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日米兰的最高温度？
8月16日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 25%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C or below
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
31%
36°C
6%
37°C
7%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 25%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
31°C or below
$222 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
8%
33°C
$5 交易量
25%
34°C
$15 交易量
35%
35°C
$55 交易量
31%
36°C
$6 交易量
6%
37°C
$10 交易量
7%
38°C
$10 交易量
1%
39°C
$10 交易量
1%
40°C
$20 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely between 33°C and 35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover while sustaining warm advection across the Po Valley, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measuring station can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from any late-day convection. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$364结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely between 33°C and 35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover while sustaining warm advection across the Po Valley, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measuring station can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from any late-day convection. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$364结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely between 33°C and 35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover while sustaining warm advection across the Po Valley, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measuring station can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from any late-day convection. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题