Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern Italy, including Milan under persistent high pressure, underpin trader focus on 34–35°C as the most probable maxima for August 15, with models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating daytime peaks near these thresholds amid light southerly winds. Uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes stems from variables such as urban heat island effects amplifying official station readings, minor differences in cloud cover or convective development, and ensemble spread in short-range forecasts. Historical August averages near 30°C highlight the anomaly, while any late anticyclone weakening could cap temperatures at the lower end before Ferragosto.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日米兰的最高温度？
8月15日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 44%
35°C 39%
33°C 10%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
44%
35°C
39%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 39%
33°C 10%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$215 交易量
<1%
31°C
$242 交易量
1%
32°C
$265 交易量
3%
33°C
$937 交易量
10%
34°C
$638 交易量
44%
35°C
$1,260 交易量
39%
36°C
$1,127 交易量
8%
37°C
$225 交易量
1%
38°C
$321 交易量
1%
39°C
$327 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern Italy, including Milan under persistent high pressure, underpin trader focus on 34–35°C as the most probable maxima for August 15, with models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating daytime peaks near these thresholds amid light southerly winds. Uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes stems from variables such as urban heat island effects amplifying official station readings, minor differences in cloud cover or convective development, and ensemble spread in short-range forecasts. Historical August averages near 30°C highlight the anomaly, while any late anticyclone weakening could cap temperatures at the lower end before Ferragosto.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,661结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern Italy, including Milan under persistent high pressure, underpin trader focus on 34–35°C as the most probable maxima for August 15, with models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating daytime peaks near these thresholds amid light southerly winds. Uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes stems from variables such as urban heat island effects amplifying official station readings, minor differences in cloud cover or convective development, and ensemble spread in short-range forecasts. Historical August averages near 30°C highlight the anomaly, while any late anticyclone weakening could cap temperatures at the lower end before Ferragosto.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,661结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across northern Italy, including Milan under persistent high pressure, underpin trader focus on 34–35°C as the most probable maxima for August 15, with models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating daytime peaks near these thresholds amid light southerly winds. Uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes stems from variables such as urban heat island effects amplifying official station readings, minor differences in cloud cover or convective development, and ensemble spread in short-range forecasts. Historical August averages near 30°C highlight the anomaly, while any late anticyclone weakening could cap temperatures at the lower end before Ferragosto.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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