Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources project a daytime high near 28–29°C (82–84°F) for Istanbul on August 17, 2026, aligning with climatological norms for mid-August when seasonal high pressure and reduced cloud cover typically produce peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. This consensus, derived from ensemble model runs showing limited diurnal variability and minimal precipitation, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Minor shifts in steering winds or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge the exact maximum by 1–2°C, but current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the 25–28°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
26°C 53%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
53%
27°C
30%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 53%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
53%
27°C
30%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources project a daytime high near 28–29°C (82–84°F) for Istanbul on August 17, 2026, aligning with climatological norms for mid-August when seasonal high pressure and reduced cloud cover typically produce peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. This consensus, derived from ensemble model runs showing limited diurnal variability and minimal precipitation, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Minor shifts in steering winds or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge the exact maximum by 1–2°C, but current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the 25–28°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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