Short-term forecasts for Guangzhou on August 17 point to a maximum near 34–35 °C, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to limit further warming and explain why the market clusters tightly around these outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and frequent convective activity that often caps daily highs 1–2 °C below model guidance; recent observations show similar suppression on days with comparable moisture profiles. Urban heat-island effects at official stations and slight model spread between global ensembles add uncertainty that keeps 36 °C and 34 °C within a few percentage points of the lead. Historical August averages of 31–33 °C provide baseline support, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger insolation could nudge readings higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日广州气温最高?
35°C 29%
36°C 28%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
28%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C或以上
1%
35°C 29%
36°C 28%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
28%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term forecasts for Guangzhou on August 17 point to a maximum near 34–35 °C, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to limit further warming and explain why the market clusters tightly around these outcomes. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, weak steering winds, and frequent convective activity that often caps daily highs 1–2 °C below model guidance; recent observations show similar suppression on days with comparable moisture profiles. Urban heat-island effects at official stations and slight model spread between global ensembles add uncertainty that keeps 36 °C and 34 °C within a few percentage points of the lead. Historical August averages of 31–33 °C provide baseline support, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger insolation could nudge readings higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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