Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 17 daily maximum near 20–21°C, driving the tight 35–40.5% market split between those two outcomes. Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating from the adjacent Baltic Sea create narrow uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, keeping 19°C and 22°C as viable but less probable tails. Light showers possible in the afternoon could further cap the peak by a degree or two. The next high-resolution model runs and 12 UTC guidance will tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日赫尔辛基的最高温度?
21°C 41%
20°C 35%
19°C 11%
22°C 9%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
35%
21°C
41%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 35%
19°C 11%
22°C 9%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
35%
21°C
41%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki’s August 17 daily maximum near 20–21°C, driving the tight 35–40.5% market split between those two outcomes. Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating from the adjacent Baltic Sea create narrow uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, keeping 19°C and 22°C as viable but less probable tails. Light showers possible in the afternoon could further cap the peak by a degree or two. The next high-resolution model runs and 12 UTC guidance will tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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