Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 39%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
25%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 39%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
$112 交易量
<1%
17°C
$5 交易量
1%
18°C
$20 交易量
5%
19°C
$178 交易量
6%
20°C
$153 交易量
17%
21°C
$530 交易量
39%
22°C
$127 交易量
25%
23°C
$37 交易量
6%
24°C
$55 交易量
3%
25°C
$15 交易量
5%
26°C或更高
$131 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,363结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,363结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETCurrent ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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