Forecasts for Warsaw on August 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 29–32 °C under building high pressure, sunny skies, and light southeasterly flow that favors afternoon heating without strong warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance and agency runs (BBC, Met Office, timeanddate) show modest spread driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities balanced across the 29–32 °C bins. Mid-August climatology averages 23–25 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge rather than anomalous heat; resolution hinges on the official observation at Chopin Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the peak by 1–2 °C before the close of the measurement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月15日的最高温度？
华沙8月15日的最高温度？
31°C 32%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
22%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C or below
$10 交易量
1%
26°C
$12 交易量
1%
27°C
$7 交易量
4%
28°C
$12 交易量
1%
29°C
$12 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
32%
32°C
$3 交易量
15%
33°C
$38 交易量
6%
34°C
$30 交易量
6%
35°C or higher
$30 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Warsaw on August 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 29–32 °C under building high pressure, sunny skies, and light southeasterly flow that favors afternoon heating without strong warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance and agency runs (BBC, Met Office, timeanddate) show modest spread driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities balanced across the 29–32 °C bins. Mid-August climatology averages 23–25 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge rather than anomalous heat; resolution hinges on the official observation at Chopin Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the peak by 1–2 °C before the close of the measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$153结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Warsaw on August 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 29–32 °C under building high pressure, sunny skies, and light southeasterly flow that favors afternoon heating without strong warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance and agency runs (BBC, Met Office, timeanddate) show modest spread driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities balanced across the 29–32 °C bins. Mid-August climatology averages 23–25 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge rather than anomalous heat; resolution hinges on the official observation at Chopin Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the peak by 1–2 °C before the close of the measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$153结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecasts for Warsaw on August 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 29–32 °C under building high pressure, sunny skies, and light southeasterly flow that favors afternoon heating without strong warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance and agency runs (BBC, Met Office, timeanddate) show modest spread driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities balanced across the 29–32 °C bins. Mid-August climatology averages 23–25 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge rather than anomalous heat; resolution hinges on the official observation at Chopin Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the peak by 1–2 °C before the close of the measurement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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