Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 16, driven by a warm, humid maritime air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent forecasts show highs near 82–84 °F on the 16th and morning minima around 70–72 °F, consistent with climatological August norms and the absence of any strong cold front or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops. Trader consensus clusters in the 70–73 °F bins because ensemble runs remain stable with only modest spread, while lower or higher outliers would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or dew-point advection not currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月16日的最低温度？
纽约市8月16日的最低温度？
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 10%
68-69°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
63华氏度或更低
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 10%
68-69°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
63华氏度或更低
$5 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$83 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$86 交易量
10%
70-71°F
$5 交易量
45%
72-73°F
$22 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$326 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$259 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 16, driven by a warm, humid maritime air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent forecasts show highs near 82–84 °F on the 16th and morning minima around 70–72 °F, consistent with climatological August norms and the absence of any strong cold front or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops. Trader consensus clusters in the 70–73 °F bins because ensemble runs remain stable with only modest spread, while lower or higher outliers would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or dew-point advection not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$801结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 16, driven by a warm, humid maritime air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent forecasts show highs near 82–84 °F on the 16th and morning minima around 70–72 °F, consistent with climatological August norms and the absence of any strong cold front or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops. Trader consensus clusters in the 70–73 °F bins because ensemble runs remain stable with only modest spread, while lower or higher outliers would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or dew-point advection not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$801结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 16, driven by a warm, humid maritime air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent forecasts show highs near 82–84 °F on the 16th and morning minima around 70–72 °F, consistent with climatological August norms and the absence of any strong cold front or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops. Trader consensus clusters in the 70–73 °F bins because ensemble runs remain stable with only modest spread, while lower or higher outliers would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or dew-point advection not currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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