Current forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather project Miami overnight lows on August 16 in the 79–82°F range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated Atlantic and Gulf sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, and high dew points that suppress radiational cooling. Light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies further limit temperature drops, consistent with mid-August climatology where average lows reach about 80°F. These conditions underpin the market's strongest implied probabilities for 82–83°F (40.5%) and 80–81°F (30.5%), while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies or a brief wind shift develop overnight. Updated model runs and NHC guidance on any tropical moisture will be key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日迈阿密最低气温？
8月16日迈阿密最低气温？
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 34%
78-79华氏度 21%
84-85°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
11%
78-79华氏度
21%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 34%
78-79华氏度 21%
84-85°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
73°F或以下
$5 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
11%
76-77°F
$75 交易量
11%
78-79华氏度
$0 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
34%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
41%
84-85°F
$66 交易量
23%
86-87°F
$10 交易量
11%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather project Miami overnight lows on August 16 in the 79–82°F range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated Atlantic and Gulf sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, and high dew points that suppress radiational cooling. Light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies further limit temperature drops, consistent with mid-August climatology where average lows reach about 80°F. These conditions underpin the market's strongest implied probabilities for 82–83°F (40.5%) and 80–81°F (30.5%), while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies or a brief wind shift develop overnight. Updated model runs and NHC guidance on any tropical moisture will be key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$176结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather project Miami overnight lows on August 16 in the 79–82°F range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated Atlantic and Gulf sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, and high dew points that suppress radiational cooling. Light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies further limit temperature drops, consistent with mid-August climatology where average lows reach about 80°F. These conditions underpin the market's strongest implied probabilities for 82–83°F (40.5%) and 80–81°F (30.5%), while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies or a brief wind shift develop overnight. Updated model runs and NHC guidance on any tropical moisture will be key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$176结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETCurrent forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather project Miami overnight lows on August 16 in the 79–82°F range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated Atlantic and Gulf sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, and high dew points that suppress radiational cooling. Light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies further limit temperature drops, consistent with mid-August climatology where average lows reach about 80°F. These conditions underpin the market's strongest implied probabilities for 82–83°F (40.5%) and 80–81°F (30.5%), while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies or a brief wind shift develop overnight. Updated model runs and NHC guidance on any tropical moisture will be key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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