Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Miami point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions on August 15, with forecast overnight lows centered near 80°F amid persistent high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. High sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F and abundant atmospheric moisture sustain minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, while variable cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and light winds introduce modest uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping the 78–83°F range tightly clustered in trader probabilities. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening of August 14 will refine wind and sky-cover details ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日迈阿密最低气温？
8月15日迈阿密最低气温？
82-83°F 42%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
13%
86°F或更高
4%
82-83°F 42%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
67°F或更低
$152 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$152 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$227 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$227 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$15 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$121 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$17 交易量
32%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
42%
84-85°F
$2 交易量
13%
86°F或更高
$413 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Miami point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions on August 15, with forecast overnight lows centered near 80°F amid persistent high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. High sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F and abundant atmospheric moisture sustain minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, while variable cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and light winds introduce modest uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping the 78–83°F range tightly clustered in trader probabilities. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening of August 14 will refine wind and sky-cover details ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,315结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Miami point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions on August 15, with forecast overnight lows centered near 80°F amid persistent high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. High sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F and abundant atmospheric moisture sustain minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, while variable cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and light winds introduce modest uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping the 78–83°F range tightly clustered in trader probabilities. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening of August 14 will refine wind and sky-cover details ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,315结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks for Miami point to typical midsummer subtropical conditions on August 15, with forecast overnight lows centered near 80°F amid persistent high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. High sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F and abundant atmospheric moisture sustain minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, while variable cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms and light winds introduce modest uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages, keeping the 78–83°F range tightly clustered in trader probabilities. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening of August 14 will refine wind and sky-cover details ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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