Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 42%
31°C 24%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
31°C 24%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
23°C or below
$501 交易量
<1%
24°C
$458 交易量
<1%
25°C
$223 交易量
<1%
26°C
$120 交易量
1%
27°C
$121 交易量
2%
28°C
$81 交易量
6%
29°C
$268 交易量
24%
30°C
$303 交易量
42%
31°C
$210 交易量
24%
32°C
$111 交易量
7%
33°C or higher
$311 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,708结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,708结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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