Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers expected through August 19 are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 31–33 °C peak for Karachi. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms through the 17–21 August window, which limits daytime heating and aligns with the current 43.5 % implied probability on 32 °C. Historical August climatology shows mean daily highs near 31–32 °C under similar humid, convective regimes, while recent observational trends indicate that any break in the rain could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C, supporting the secondary probabilities on those outcomes. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution centered on 32 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日卡拉奇的最高温度？
8月19日卡拉奇的最高温度？
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
45%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C或更高
1%
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$103 交易量
13%
30°C
$32 交易量
4%
31°C
$7 交易量
18%
32°C
$7 交易量
45%
33°C
$0 交易量
24%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C
$5 交易量
7%
36°C
$5 交易量
7%
37°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers expected through August 19 are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 31–33 °C peak for Karachi. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms through the 17–21 August window, which limits daytime heating and aligns with the current 43.5 % implied probability on 32 °C. Historical August climatology shows mean daily highs near 31–32 °C under similar humid, convective regimes, while recent observational trends indicate that any break in the rain could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C, supporting the secondary probabilities on those outcomes. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution centered on 32 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$174结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers expected through August 19 are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 31–33 °C peak for Karachi. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms through the 17–21 August window, which limits daytime heating and aligns with the current 43.5 % implied probability on 32 °C. Historical August climatology shows mean daily highs near 31–32 °C under similar humid, convective regimes, while recent observational trends indicate that any break in the rain could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C, supporting the secondary probabilities on those outcomes. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution centered on 32 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$174结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETMonsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers expected through August 19 are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 31–33 °C peak for Karachi. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms through the 17–21 August window, which limits daytime heating and aligns with the current 43.5 % implied probability on 32 °C. Historical August climatology shows mean daily highs near 31–32 °C under similar humid, convective regimes, while recent observational trends indicate that any break in the rain could briefly allow readings to reach 33–34 °C, supporting the secondary probabilities on those outcomes. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution centered on 32 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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