Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 19, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. A weak Atlantic front may bring scattered showers that moderate nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs, while urban heat-island effects in central London further temper lows relative to rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds; final resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日伦敦最低气温？
8月19日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
34%
17°C
40%
18°C
16%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
11°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
12°C
$5 交易量
<1%
13°C
$5 交易量
4%
14°C
$5 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$254 交易量
34%
17°C
$429 交易量
40%
18°C
$29 交易量
16%
19°C
$4 交易量
5%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 19, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. A weak Atlantic front may bring scattered showers that moderate nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs, while urban heat-island effects in central London further temper lows relative to rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds; final resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$746结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 19, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. A weak Atlantic front may bring scattered showers that moderate nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs, while urban heat-island effects in central London further temper lows relative to rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds; final resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$746结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 19, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. A weak Atlantic front may bring scattered showers that moderate nocturnal temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs, while urban heat-island effects in central London further temper lows relative to rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds; final resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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