Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日伦敦气温最高？
8月18日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
最新
$12,708 交易量
最新
$12,708 交易量
2026-08-18
22°C or below
6%
23°C
12%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
最新
$12,708 交易量
最新
$12,708 交易量
2026-08-18
22°C or below
$542 交易量
6%
23°C
$632 交易量
12%
24°C
$1,716 交易量
27%
25°C
$3,534 交易量
30%
26°C
$2,121 交易量
19%
27°C
$842 交易量
9%
28°C
$319 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,342 交易量
1%
30°C
$557 交易量
<1%
31°C
$552 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$552 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$12,708结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,708结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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