Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives trader sentiment toward a 29–31°C peak on August 13, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around these outcomes. PAGASA outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and daily maxima near 30–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions typically cap afternoon highs below seasonal clear-sky averages near 31°C. Short-term model spreads on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow probability distribution, as even modest breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming to 32°C or keep readings near 29°C depending on convective timing. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
$28 交易量
<1%
26°C
$13 交易量
1%
27°C
$27 交易量
5%
28°C
$103 交易量
8%
29°C
$54 交易量
26%
30°C
$14 交易量
33%
31°C
$26 交易量
27%
32°C
$137 交易量
11%
33°C
$429 交易量
2%
34°C
$5 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives trader sentiment toward a 29–31°C peak on August 13, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around these outcomes. PAGASA outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and daily maxima near 30–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions typically cap afternoon highs below seasonal clear-sky averages near 31°C. Short-term model spreads on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow probability distribution, as even modest breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming to 32°C or keep readings near 29°C depending on convective timing. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$956结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives trader sentiment toward a 29–31°C peak on August 13, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around these outcomes. PAGASA outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and daily maxima near 30–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions typically cap afternoon highs below seasonal clear-sky averages near 31°C. Short-term model spreads on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow probability distribution, as even modest breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming to 32°C or keep readings near 29°C depending on convective timing. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$956结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives trader sentiment toward a 29–31°C peak on August 13, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around these outcomes. PAGASA outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and daily maxima near 30–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions typically cap afternoon highs below seasonal clear-sky averages near 31°C. Short-term model spreads on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow probability distribution, as even modest breaks in cloudiness could allow brief warming to 32°C or keep readings near 29°C depending on convective timing. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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