Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日青岛气温最高？
8月13日青岛气温最高？
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
$27 交易量
1%
27°C
$21 交易量
1%
28°C
$327 交易量
3%
29°C
$121 交易量
13%
30°C
$83 交易量
33%
31°C
$72 交易量
31%
32°C
$18 交易量
21%
33°C
$139 交易量
6%
34°C
$37 交易量
3%
35°C
$32 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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