Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring trader sentiment around the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 25°C (28.5%) outcomes. The North Pacific subtropical high maintains warm, humid conditions typical of late East Asian summer monsoon retreat, while variable cloud cover and light winds limit nighttime longwave radiative cooling that would otherwise drop temperatures further. Differentiation between 24°C and 25°C hinges on precise cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture, as clearer intervals enable greater surface heat loss while higher humidity raises dew points and sustains minima near observed recent values of 23–25°C. Updated model runs and evening KMA briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
24°C 36%
25°C 31%
23°C 13%
26°C 13%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
36%
25°C
38%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 31%
23°C 13%
26°C 13%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
36%
25°C
38%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring trader sentiment around the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 25°C (28.5%) outcomes. The North Pacific subtropical high maintains warm, humid conditions typical of late East Asian summer monsoon retreat, while variable cloud cover and light winds limit nighttime longwave radiative cooling that would otherwise drop temperatures further. Differentiation between 24°C and 25°C hinges on precise cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture, as clearer intervals enable greater surface heat loss while higher humidity raises dew points and sustains minima near observed recent values of 23–25°C. Updated model runs and evening KMA briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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