Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 70–73°F in Central Park on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 39% for 70–71°F and 38% for 72–73°F. Late-summer high pressure and warmer-than-average seasonal conditions, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center outlook, limit radiative cooling while elevated dew points and the urban heat island effect moderate overnight lows around historical averages near 68°F. Small differences among leading bins reflect model variability in cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing on the final forecast cycle, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月20日的最低温度？
纽约市8月20日的最低温度？
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 25%
68-69°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或更低
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80°F或更高
1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 25%
68-69°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或更低
$0 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$61 交易量
12%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
38%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
25%
76-77°F
$50 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$116 交易量
5%
80°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 70–73°F in Central Park on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 39% for 70–71°F and 38% for 72–73°F. Late-summer high pressure and warmer-than-average seasonal conditions, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center outlook, limit radiative cooling while elevated dew points and the urban heat island effect moderate overnight lows around historical averages near 68°F. Small differences among leading bins reflect model variability in cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing on the final forecast cycle, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$242结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 70–73°F in Central Park on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 39% for 70–71°F and 38% for 72–73°F. Late-summer high pressure and warmer-than-average seasonal conditions, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center outlook, limit radiative cooling while elevated dew points and the urban heat island effect moderate overnight lows around historical averages near 68°F. Small differences among leading bins reflect model variability in cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing on the final forecast cycle, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$242结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a minimum temperature near 70–73°F in Central Park on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 39% for 70–71°F and 38% for 72–73°F. Late-summer high pressure and warmer-than-average seasonal conditions, reinforced by the Climate Prediction Center outlook, limit radiative cooling while elevated dew points and the urban heat island effect moderate overnight lows around historical averages near 68°F. Small differences among leading bins reflect model variability in cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing on the final forecast cycle, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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