Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 21, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and absence of strong warm-air advection or subsidence. This aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24°C while reflecting short-term steering patterns that suppress extremes. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 38.5% followed by 25°C and 27°C, consistent with typical model spread of ±1–2°C at this lead time. Updated runs ahead of the August 20–21 period will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or diurnal heating pushes readings higher within the narrow 24–28°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月21日的最高温度？
华沙8月21日的最高温度？
26°C 39%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
23%
26°C
39%
27°C
23%
28°C or higher
5%
26°C 39%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
18°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
23%
26°C
$6 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C or higher
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 21, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and absence of strong warm-air advection or subsidence. This aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24°C while reflecting short-term steering patterns that suppress extremes. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 38.5% followed by 25°C and 27°C, consistent with typical model spread of ±1–2°C at this lead time. Updated runs ahead of the August 20–21 period will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or diurnal heating pushes readings higher within the narrow 24–28°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 21, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and absence of strong warm-air advection or subsidence. This aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24°C while reflecting short-term steering patterns that suppress extremes. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 38.5% followed by 25°C and 27°C, consistent with typical model spread of ±1–2°C at this lead time. Updated runs ahead of the August 20–21 period will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or diurnal heating pushes readings higher within the narrow 24–28°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 21, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and absence of strong warm-air advection or subsidence. This aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24°C while reflecting short-term steering patterns that suppress extremes. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 38.5% followed by 25°C and 27°C, consistent with typical model spread of ±1–2°C at this lead time. Updated runs ahead of the August 20–21 period will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or diurnal heating pushes readings higher within the narrow 24–28°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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