Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
24°C or below
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
24°C or below
$143 交易量
2%
25°C
$87 交易量
6%
26°C
$152 交易量
18%
27°C
$526 交易量
32%
28°C
$40 交易量
27%
29°C
$784 交易量
11%
30°C
$364 交易量
5%
31°C
$23 交易量
2%
32°C
$130 交易量
<1%
33°C
$105 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,615结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,615结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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