Recent short-range forecasts from major models converge on a daytime maximum near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 20, driven by modest warm advection ahead of a weak front under partly cloudy skies with westerly flow. This positions 18°C and 19°C as the tightest outcomes because small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise arrival of cooler marine air can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical August climatology (15–17°C highs) and the current post-frontal recovery support the modest upside priced in, while limited model spread and the absence of strong synoptic forcing keep probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
12%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
16%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
12%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
16%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from major models converge on a daytime maximum near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 20, driven by modest warm advection ahead of a weak front under partly cloudy skies with westerly flow. This positions 18°C and 19°C as the tightest outcomes because small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise arrival of cooler marine air can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical August climatology (15–17°C highs) and the current post-frontal recovery support the modest upside priced in, while limited model spread and the absence of strong synoptic forcing keep probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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