Recent forecasts from official monitoring and numerical models indicate a highest temperature of 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where mean daily maxima reach 15–17°C at stations such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. A modest cooling trend following weekend highs near 17–18°C, combined with southerly flow and increased cloud cover, supports this central tendency while limiting upside potential for 18°C or warmer. Traders assign over 80% combined probability to the 15–17°C range because model consensus shows limited warming under current synoptic patterns, with any late-day clearing offering only marginal upside. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
16°C 48%
17°C 33%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
48%
17°C
33%
18°C
8%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 48%
17°C 33%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
10°C or below
$60 交易量
<1%
11°C
$480 交易量
<1%
12°C
$784 交易量
1%
13°C
$466 交易量
1%
14°C
$451 交易量
3%
15°C
$637 交易量
11%
16°C
$952 交易量
48%
17°C
$775 交易量
33%
18°C
$158 交易量
8%
19°C
$127 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$212 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring and numerical models indicate a highest temperature of 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where mean daily maxima reach 15–17°C at stations such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. A modest cooling trend following weekend highs near 17–18°C, combined with southerly flow and increased cloud cover, supports this central tendency while limiting upside potential for 18°C or warmer. Traders assign over 80% combined probability to the 15–17°C range because model consensus shows limited warming under current synoptic patterns, with any late-day clearing offering only marginal upside. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$5,101结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring and numerical models indicate a highest temperature of 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where mean daily maxima reach 15–17°C at stations such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. A modest cooling trend following weekend highs near 17–18°C, combined with southerly flow and increased cloud cover, supports this central tendency while limiting upside potential for 18°C or warmer. Traders assign over 80% combined probability to the 15–17°C range because model consensus shows limited warming under current synoptic patterns, with any late-day clearing offering only marginal upside. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,101结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETRecent forecasts from official monitoring and numerical models indicate a highest temperature of 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where mean daily maxima reach 15–17°C at stations such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. A modest cooling trend following weekend highs near 17–18°C, combined with southerly flow and increased cloud cover, supports this central tendency while limiting upside potential for 18°C or warmer. Traders assign over 80% combined probability to the 15–17°C range because model consensus shows limited warming under current synoptic patterns, with any late-day clearing offering only marginal upside. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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