Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over coastal Qingdao on August 20, limiting solar heating and supporting the market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, moderate northeasterly sea breezes, and elevated humidity are key variables capping peak temperatures near long-term August averages of 29–31°C, while any break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Model spreads on exact rainfall timing and wind strength explain the broad probability distribution across the 28–32°C range, with new short-range guidance expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日青岛气温最高？
8月20日青岛气温最高？
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
27°C 22%
31°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
22%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
10%
34℃或以上
8%
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
27°C 22%
31°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
24°C或以下
$32 交易量
<1%
25°C
$17 交易量
1%
26°C
$13 交易量
1%
27°C
$15 交易量
22%
28°C
$6 交易量
17%
29°C
$0 交易量
33%
30°C
$5 交易量
29%
31°C
$46 交易量
20%
32°C
$63 交易量
11%
33°C
$25 交易量
10%
34℃或以上
$23 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over coastal Qingdao on August 20, limiting solar heating and supporting the market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, moderate northeasterly sea breezes, and elevated humidity are key variables capping peak temperatures near long-term August averages of 29–31°C, while any break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Model spreads on exact rainfall timing and wind strength explain the broad probability distribution across the 28–32°C range, with new short-range guidance expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over coastal Qingdao on August 20, limiting solar heating and supporting the market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, moderate northeasterly sea breezes, and elevated humidity are key variables capping peak temperatures near long-term August averages of 29–31°C, while any break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Model spreads on exact rainfall timing and wind strength explain the broad probability distribution across the 28–32°C range, with new short-range guidance expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over coastal Qingdao on August 20, limiting solar heating and supporting the market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, moderate northeasterly sea breezes, and elevated humidity are key variables capping peak temperatures near long-term August averages of 29–31°C, while any break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes to 32°C or higher. Model spreads on exact rainfall timing and wind strength explain the broad probability distribution across the 28–32°C range, with new short-range guidance expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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