Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日上海气温最高？
8月20日上海气温最高？
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
$280 交易量
<1%
26°C
$145 交易量
<1%
27°C
$183 交易量
1%
28°C
$86 交易量
7%
29°C
$126 交易量
11%
30°C
$301 交易量
35%
31°C
$89 交易量
32%
32°C
$43 交易量
12%
33°C
$1 交易量
5%
34°C
$18 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,283结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,283结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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