Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
11°C 52%
12°C 36%
10°C 10%
9°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
52%
12°C
36%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 52%
12°C 36%
10°C 10%
9°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
6°C or below
$314 交易量
<1%
7°C
$483 交易量
1%
8°C
$375 交易量
1%
9°C
$335 交易量
3%
10°C
$507 交易量
10%
11°C
$1,755 交易量
52%
12°C
$3,798 交易量
36%
13°C
$465 交易量
3%
14°C
$369 交易量
1%
15°C
$309 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$299 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,010结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,010结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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