Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20 likely falling in the 27–29°C range under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. These influences, combined with current atmospheric stability and moderate humidity levels near 70%, limit extreme heat relative to inland areas, aligning with August climatological averages of 27–30°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 28°C as the top outcome, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for forecast uncertainty and potential minor adjustments from the next model cycles ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月20日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 39%
29°C 21%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
12%
28°C
39%
29°C
21%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 21%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
$143 交易量
<1%
24°C
$49 交易量
1%
25°C
$10 交易量
6%
26°C
$925 交易量
7%
27°C
$78 交易量
12%
28°C
$122 交易量
39%
29°C
$127 交易量
21%
30°C
$24 交易量
9%
31°C
$10 交易量
6%
32°C
$10 交易量
6%
33°C or higher
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20 likely falling in the 27–29°C range under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. These influences, combined with current atmospheric stability and moderate humidity levels near 70%, limit extreme heat relative to inland areas, aligning with August climatological averages of 27–30°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 28°C as the top outcome, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for forecast uncertainty and potential minor adjustments from the next model cycles ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,524结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20 likely falling in the 27–29°C range under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. These influences, combined with current atmospheric stability and moderate humidity levels near 70%, limit extreme heat relative to inland areas, aligning with August climatological averages of 27–30°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 28°C as the top outcome, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for forecast uncertainty and potential minor adjustments from the next model cycles ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,524结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20 likely falling in the 27–29°C range under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. These influences, combined with current atmospheric stability and moderate humidity levels near 70%, limit extreme heat relative to inland areas, aligning with August climatological averages of 27–30°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 28°C as the top outcome, incorporates this model agreement while accounting for forecast uncertainty and potential minor adjustments from the next model cycles ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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